Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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